Procedure for Constructing Soft Models of Complex Systems by Time Series

Рассмотрена проблема создания моделей сложных систем для оценки их состояния. Приведен анализ подходов к построению диагностических моделей и отмечены их особенности. Для сложной системы, имеющей иерархическую структуру, предложена процедура конструирования по скалярному временному ряду моделей для оценки ее состояния. При этом каждый иерархический уровень описывается дифференциальным уравнением с сосредоточенными параметрами. В основу процедуры положена концепция мягкого моделирования. Работоспособность предложенной процедуры продемонстрирована на примере конструирования модели для оценки состояния сложной системы регуляции сердечного ритма.

Ключевые слова

сложная система; мягкое моделирование; базовые модели; сердечно-сосудистая система.

Литература

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